Middle East Investors Summit 2019

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  • The Spiral Effect of Middle East Political Tension on Investments


    Gina Sanchez, the Chairman at the marcus evans Middle East Investments Summit 2012, on the build-up of pressure as economic tension penetrates the political outlook in the Middle East, and how this effects investments.

    Interview with: Gina Sanchez, Director of Equity & Asset Allocation Strategy, Roubini Global Economics

    “Economic tension is having a domino effect on political tension, which in turn is increasing uncertainty for the Middle East investment sector,” says Gina Sanchez, Director of Equity & Asset Allocation Strategy, Roubini Global Economics. “Pressure will continue with resources becoming more scarce and global consumption and investments feeling the impact,” she adds.

    The Chairman at the marcus evans Middle East Investments Summit 2012 in Dubai, UAE, 4 - 5 November, Sanchez shares her thoughts on which emerging market investments will thrive and how markets with a decreasing reliance on exporting commodities will be a sign for investing.

    What hurdles will investors have to overcome in the face of the political outlook?

    The political position in the Middle East is very concerning, as continuous economic tensions such as food price inflation are leading to political tensions. Even more pressure is expected as resources become more scarce and the world spirals into a deleveraging process. The regional instability has a global impact on consumption through energy prices.

    Which non-developed markets may diversify a portfolio?

    The challenge in finding a sufficient emerging market is to identify one whose economy is developing and growing significantly faster than developed economics, where credit and domestic demand is growing and where inflation is not a major issue. Such a promising market at the moment is Brazil, where domestic demand has been growing as a percentage of gross domestic product. There is also a decreasing reliance on commodity exports and an increasing domestic demand.

    Markets like India and Turkey, where the central bank’s track record is weak, cannot reach the standards needed for investors to diversity portfolios.

    Why should Middle East investors set aside complex financial instruments to rebalance the portfolio?

    The illusion around complex financial instruments as efficient forms of relocating risk no longer exists. They essentially place risk on the banking system and cause it to crumble under the pressure. Old fashioned cash rebalancing is the cleanest and easiest way to control risk with no excess costs and reshaping the portfolio in minimum ways. More complex strategies should be used by investors with a negative cash flow and for restructuring the portfolio in a more dynamic fashion.

    What other opportunities could Middle East Investors take advantage of?

    The challenge for many investors in this part of the world is to understand the natural exposure they take to their own domestic economy and therefore to local political growth. Today this is a delicate issue as the economy is slowing, but there are still global opportunities available. A ten-year trend to look out for is assets, such as arable land, food and water. These will be interesting additions to the Middle East portfolio and will also create a hedge against Western market fluctuations.

    Contact: Maria Gregoriou, Journalist, marcus evans, Summits Division

    Tel: +357 22 849 400

    About the Middle East Investments Summit 2012

    This unique forum will take place at the Park Hyatt Dubai, UAE, 4 - 5 November 2012. Internationally acclaimed as the leading event for Middle East institutional investors, the Summit offers much more than any conference, seminar or trade show. This exclusive meeting will bring together esteemed thought leaders in institutional investing and market leading solution providers for a highly focused and interactive networking event. The Summit includes presentations on harnessing the power of Islamic finance in the aftermath of the Arab Spring, powering economic and social wealth by tapping the widening regional demand for infrastructures and navigating increased risk and volatility to protect assets and secure returns.

    For more information please send an email to info@marcusevanscy.com or visit the event website at www.mei-summit.com

    The Investment Network – marcus evans Summits group delivers peer-to-peer information on strategic matters, professional trends and breakthrough innovations.


    Please note that the Summit is a closed business event and the number of participants strictly limited.

    About marcus evans Summits

    marcus evans Summits are high level business forums for the world’s leading decision-makers to meet, learn and discuss strategies and solutions. Held at exclusive locations around the world, these events provide attendees with a unique opportunity to individually tailor their schedules of keynote presentations, think tanks, seminars and one-to-one business meetings. For more information, please visit www.marcusevans.com

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